CME Scoreboard: Previous Year Page
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Past CMEs From 2013:
|
CME: 2013-12-12T03:54:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2013-12-14T14:00Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 4.0
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-12-15T03:38Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
13.63
|
----
|
2013-12-12T17:09Z |
44.85
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-12-15T00:00Z
|
10.00
|
----
|
2013-12-13T00:30Z |
37.50
|
Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-12-14T18:11Z
(-16.1h, +13.9h)
|
4.18
|
----
|
2013-12-13T15:15Z |
22.75
|
Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 6.0
|
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-12-14T23:16Z
|
9.27
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 2.5 - 4.66667
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-12-04T23:12:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2013-12-08T00:00Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-12-07T18:00Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
-6.00
|
----
|
2013-12-06T01:09Z |
46.85
|
Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-12-07T13:45Z
(-4.0h, +4.0h)
|
-10.25
|
----
|
2013-12-06T16:10Z |
31.83
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0
|
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-12-07T15:52Z
|
-8.13
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 2.5 - 5.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-10-25T15:12:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2013-10-29T07:10Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-10-28T06:00Z
|
-25.17
|
----
|
2013-10-25T21:15Z |
81.92
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-26T23:53Z
(-10.0h, +10.0h)
|
-55.28
|
----
|
2013-10-26T00:21Z |
78.82
|
----
|
STOA
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-28T00:00Z
|
-31.17
|
----
|
2013-10-26T13:46Z |
65.40
|
----
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-28T04:00Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
-27.17
|
----
|
2013-10-27T00:18Z |
54.87
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone
|
RWC Jeju (KSWC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-27T20:28Z
|
-34.70
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
----
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-10-24T01:48:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2013-10-28T04:40Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-10-26T05:00Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
-47.67
|
----
|
2013-10-24T15:12Z |
85.47
|
Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 7.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-26T16:03Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
-36.62
|
----
|
2013-10-24T18:55Z |
81.75
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-28T16:00Z
|
11.33
|
----
|
2013-10-25T01:16Z |
75.40
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-27T00:00Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
-28.67
|
----
|
2013-10-26T01:28Z |
51.20
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone
|
RWC Jeju (KSWC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-27T03:15Z
|
-25.42
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-10-22T22:00:00-CME-001
|
| This CME was not detected at Earth! |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-10-27T00:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
2013-10-23T17:11Z |
78.82
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-26T02:30Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
----
|
----
|
2013-10-23T19:51Z |
54.65
|
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-27T00:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
2013-10-24T13:08Z |
58.87
|
----
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-26T03:12Z
(-10.0h, +10.0h)
|
----
|
----
|
2013-10-24T17:58Z |
33.23
|
----
|
STOA
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-26T16:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
2013-10-25T01:16Z |
38.73
|
Max Kp Range: -- - 3.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-25T15:00Z
(-4.0h, +4.0h)
|
----
|
----
|
2013-10-25T07:09Z |
7.85
|
----
|
DBM
|
Manuela Temmer (UNIGRAZ) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-26T10:07Z
|
----
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 4.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-10-22T04:36:00-CME-001
|
| This CME was not detected at Earth! |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-10-25T12:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
2013-10-22T13:15Z |
70.75
|
Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-25T09:51Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
----
|
----
|
2013-10-22T13:37Z |
68.23
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-25T08:19Z
(-10.3h, +10.9h)
|
----
|
----
|
2013-10-22T16:04Z |
64.25
|
Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 5.0
|
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-24T18:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
2013-10-23T13:29Z |
28.52
|
Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-25T06:02Z
|
----
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 2.5 - 4.75
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-09-29T22:40:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2013-10-02T01:20Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 6.0
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-10-02T14:39Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
13.32
|
----
|
2013-09-30T03:32Z |
45.80
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-03T00:00Z
(-6.0h, +6.0h)
|
22.67
|
----
|
2013-09-30T12:59Z |
36.35
|
Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-02T19:00Z
|
17.67
|
----
|
2013-09-30T15:05Z |
34.25
|
Max Kp Range: -- - 6.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-02T21:00Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
19.67
|
----
|
2013-10-01T01:39Z |
23.68
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone
|
RWC Jeju (KSWC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-02T04:42Z
(-10.9h, +9.4h)
|
3.37
|
----
|
2013-10-01T17:33Z |
7.78
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0
|
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-02T06:15Z
(-10.0h, +10.0h)
|
4.92
|
----
|
2013-10-01T20:16Z |
5.07
|
----
|
STOA
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-10-02T14:56Z
|
13.60
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.5
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-09-19T04:25:00-CME-001
|
| This CME was not detected at Earth! |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-09-23T00:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
2013-09-19T15:37Z |
80.38
|
----
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-09-23T07:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
2013-09-19T17:05Z |
85.92
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-09-24T05:21Z
|
----
|
----
|
2013-09-19T19:16Z |
106.08
|
----
|
DBM
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-09-23T08:00Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
----
|
----
|
2013-09-20T15:41Z |
64.32
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-09-23T11:05Z
|
----
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
----
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-08-30T02:48:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2013-09-02T01:30Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 3.0
Dst min. in nT: -22
Dst min. time: 2013-09-02T19:00Z
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-08-31T21:00Z
|
-28.50
|
----
|
2013-08-30T12:55Z |
60.58
|
----
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-09-01T09:19Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
-16.18
|
----
|
2013-08-30T14:15Z |
59.25
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-09-01T03:00Z
|
-22.50
|
----
|
2013-08-30T15:21Z |
58.15
|
Max Kp Range: 5.0 - --
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-08-31T17:59Z
(-10.0h, +10.0h)
|
-31.52
|
----
|
2013-08-30T19:12Z |
54.30
|
----
|
STOA
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-09-01T00:49Z
|
-24.68
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 5.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-08-29T06:00:00-CME-001
|
| This CME was not detected at Earth! |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-09-01T06:00Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
----
|
----
|
2013-08-29T15:10Z |
62.83
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-09-02T20:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
2013-08-30T12:55Z |
79.08
|
----
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-09-02T01:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
----
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-08-21T05:24:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2013-08-23T23:55Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 3.0
Dst min. in nT: -21
Dst min. time: 2013-08-25T21:00Z
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-08-23T23:59Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
0.07
|
----
|
2013-08-21T17:12Z |
54.72
|
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-08-23T23:59Z
|
0.07
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-08-20T08:24:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2013-08-22T18:43Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 4.0
Dst min. in nT: -26
Dst min. time: 2013-08-23T04:00Z
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-08-22T23:11Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
4.47
|
----
|
2013-08-20T12:50Z |
53.88
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-08-22T23:11Z
|
4.47
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-08-17T19:24:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2013-08-20T21:34Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 4.0
Dst min. in nT: -18
Dst min. time: 2013-08-21T06:00Z
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-08-20T14:00Z
|
-7.57
|
----
|
2013-08-18T17:00Z |
52.57
|
Dst min. in nT: -32
Dst min. time: 2013-08-21T01:00Z
|
Anemomilos
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-08-20T14:00Z
|
-7.57
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
----
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-08-02T14:24:00-CME-001
|
| This CME was not detected at Earth! |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-08-05T04:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
2013-08-03T05:25Z |
46.58
|
Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-08-05T06:00Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
----
|
----
|
2013-08-03T13:37Z |
40.38
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-08-15T21:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
2013-08-12T18:52Z |
74.13
|
Dst min. in nT: -61
Dst min. time: 2013-08-16T08:00Z
|
Anemomilos
|
WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) |
Detail
|
| 2013-08-08T18:20Z
|
----
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-07-10T06:24:00-CME-001
|
| This CME was not detected at Earth! |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-07-15T10:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
2013-07-10T22:42Z |
107.30
|
Dst min. in nT: -30
Dst min. time: 2013-07-15T21:00Z
|
Anemomilos
|
WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) |
Detail
|
| 2013-07-15T10:00Z
|
----
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
----
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-07-09T15:09:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2013-07-13T01:00Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-07-12T17:53Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
-7.12
|
----
|
2013-07-09T20:57Z |
76.05
|
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-07-13T13:00Z
|
12.00
|
----
|
2013-07-10T12:17Z |
60.72
|
Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 6.0
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-07-13T11:00Z
|
10.00
|
----
|
2013-07-10T17:43Z |
55.28
|
Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-07-13T05:57Z
|
4.95
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 4.5 - 5.66667
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-06-28T01:54:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2013-06-30T10:40Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 3.0
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-07-01T00:00Z
|
13.33
|
----
|
2013-06-28T12:34Z |
46.10
|
----
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-06-30T12:00Z
|
1.33
|
----
|
2013-06-28T17:43Z |
40.95
|
Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-06-30T12:00Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
1.33
|
----
|
2013-06-28T19:23Z |
39.28
|
----
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-07-01T14:00Z
|
27.33
|
----
|
2013-06-29T19:24Z |
15.27
|
Dst min. in nT: -31
Dst min. time: 2013-07-01T23:59Z
|
Anemomilos
|
WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) |
Detail
|
| 2013-06-30T21:30Z
|
10.83
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-06-21T03:24:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2013-06-23T03:45Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 4.0
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-06-22T10:17Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
-17.47
|
----
|
2013-06-21T15:01Z |
36.73
|
Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 7.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-06-23T12:00Z
|
8.25
|
----
|
2013-06-22T12:30Z |
15.25
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-06-22T23:08Z
|
-4.62
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 4.5 - 5.5
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-05-22T13:24:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2013-05-24T17:35Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0
Dst min. in nT: -55
Dst min. time: 2013-05-25T08:00Z
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-05-25T17:00Z
|
23.42
|
----
|
2013-05-22T17:28Z |
48.12
|
Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 5.0
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-05-23T23:26Z
(-10.0h, +10.0h)
|
-18.15
|
----
|
2013-05-22T18:35Z |
47.00
|
----
|
STOA
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-05-24T15:30Z
|
-2.08
|
----
|
2013-05-22T18:59Z |
46.60
|
Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 7.66
|
BHV
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-05-25T12:00Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
18.42
|
----
|
2013-05-22T19:18Z |
46.28
|
Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-05-24T09:00Z
|
-8.58
|
----
|
2013-05-22T21:43Z |
43.87
|
Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-05-24T20:11Z
|
2.60
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 4.33333 - 5.665
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-05-17T09:24:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2013-05-19T22:20Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 4.0
Dst min. in nT: -20
Dst min. time: 2013-05-20T23:00Z
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-05-19T12:00Z
|
-10.33
|
----
|
2013-05-17T13:07Z |
57.22
|
----
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-05-19T11:59Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
-10.35
|
----
|
2013-05-17T17:03Z |
53.28
|
Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 6.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-05-19T15:37Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
-6.72
|
----
|
2013-05-17T23:45Z |
46.58
|
Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 6.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-05-19T20:00Z
|
-2.33
|
----
|
2013-05-17T23:52Z |
46.47
|
Dst min. in nT: -33
Dst min. time: 2013-05-20T07:00Z
|
Anemomilos
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-05-19T14:00Z
|
-8.33
|
----
|
2013-05-18T00:30Z |
45.83
|
Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 6.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-05-18T20:55Z
(-10.0h, +10.0h)
|
-25.42
|
----
|
2013-05-18T07:51Z |
38.48
|
----
|
STOA
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-05-19T11:45Z
|
-10.58
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 6.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-04-11T07:36:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2013-04-13T22:12Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 3.0
Dst min. in nT: -11
Dst min. time: 2013-04-15T03:00Z
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-04-13T00:40Z
|
-21.53
|
----
|
2013-04-11T09:42Z |
60.50
|
----
|
ESA
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-04-13T06:00Z
|
-16.20
|
----
|
2013-04-11T11:30Z |
58.70
|
Max Kp Range: -- - 7.0
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-04-13T20:00Z
|
-2.20
|
----
|
2013-04-11T13:38Z |
56.57
|
Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 6.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-04-13T05:57Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
-16.25
|
----
|
2013-04-11T16:00Z |
54.20
|
Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-04-12T10:00Z
|
-36.20
|
----
|
2013-04-11T16:20Z |
53.87
|
Dst min. in nT: -143
Dst min. time: 2013-04-12T20:00Z
|
Anemomilos
|
WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) |
Detail
|
| 2013-04-14T02:40Z
(-2.0h, +2.0h)
|
4.47
|
----
|
2013-04-11T16:22Z |
53.83
|
----
|
DBM
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-04-12T21:29Z
|
-24.72
|
----
|
2013-04-11T20:18Z |
49.90
|
----
|
STOA
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-04-14T03:00Z
|
4.80
|
----
|
2013-04-12T15:47Z |
30.42
|
Max Kp Range: -- - 7.33
Dst min. time: 2013-04-14T09:00Z
|
BHV
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-04-13T01:00Z
|
-21.20
|
----
|
2013-04-12T18:26Z |
27.77
|
Dst min. in nT: -151
Dst min. time: 2013-04-13T11:00Z
|
Anemomilos
|
WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) |
Detail
|
| 2013-04-14T00:00Z
|
1.80
|
----
|
2013-04-13T04:31Z |
17.68
|
----
|
HAFv2w
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-04-13T10:00Z
|
-12.20
|
----
|
2013-04-13T08:28Z |
13.73
|
Dst min. in nT: -139
Dst min. time: 2013-04-13T22:00Z
|
Anemomilos
|
WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) |
Detail
|
| 2013-04-13T22:00Z
|
-0.20
|
----
|
2013-04-13T18:35Z |
3.62
|
Dst min. in nT: -148
Dst min. time: 2013-04-14T08:00Z
|
Anemomilos
|
WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) |
Detail
|
| 2013-04-13T10:33Z
|
-11.65
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 5.5 - 7.0825
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
|
CME: 2013-03-15T06:54:00-CME-001
|
| Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2013-03-17T05:28Z |
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 6.33
Dst min. in nT: -132
Dst min. time: 2013-03-17T21:00Z
|
| Predicted Shock Arrival Time |
Difference (hrs) |
Confidence (%) |
Submitted On |
Lead Time (hrs) |
Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) |
Method |
Submitted By |
| 2013-03-16T20:00Z
|
-9.47
|
----
|
2013-03-15T11:43Z |
41.75
|
Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 6.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-03-17T01:00Z
|
-4.47
|
----
|
2013-03-15T13:00Z |
40.47
|
Dst min. in nT: -139
Dst min. time: 2013-03-17T11:00Z
|
Anemomilos
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-03-18T13:00Z
|
31.53
|
----
|
2013-03-15T13:19Z |
40.15
|
----
|
Other (SIDC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-03-16T16:59Z
(-7.0h, +7.0h)
|
-12.48
|
----
|
2013-03-15T14:04Z |
39.40
|
Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0
|
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-03-17T00:00Z
|
-5.47
|
----
|
2013-03-15T23:30Z |
29.97
|
----
|
Other (ips.gov.au)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-03-17T00:00Z
|
-5.47
|
----
|
2013-03-16T00:39Z |
28.82
|
----
|
H3DMHD (HAFv.3 + 3DMHD)
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-03-17T09:00Z
|
3.53
|
----
|
2013-03-16T01:26Z |
28.03
|
----
|
ESA
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-03-17T10:46Z
|
5.30
|
----
|
2013-03-16T10:41Z |
18.78
|
----
|
DBM
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-03-17T15:00Z
|
9.53
|
----
|
2013-03-16T12:29Z |
16.98
|
Max Kp Range: -- - 7.0
|
BHV
|
Leila Mays (GSFC) |
Detail
|
| 2013-03-17T06:51Z
|
1.38
|
----
|
--- |
--- |
Max Kp Range: 5.5 - 7.0
|
Average of all Methods
|
Auto Generated (CCMC) |
Detail
|
|
Go Back to the Main Page
|
|
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forecasters/researchers.
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